Bayesian Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics


Scottish Graduate Programme in Economics, 2016

Dates: Tuesdays from 3-6 for 6 weeks, beginning 16 February.

Computer tutorials take place at 5-6 in weeks 2, 3, 5 and 6 of the course.

Lecturer: Gary Koop (Gary.Koop@strath.ac.uk)

Gary Koop's webpage is here

A Course Outline is available here.

The handout, “Bayesian Methods for Fat Data” is available here.

The monograph: Koop, G. and Korobilis, D. (2010). "Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics" is available here.

Here is a useful monograph on Applied Bayesian Econometrics for Central Bankers by Andrew Blake and Haroon Mumtaz

Corrections for the textbook, Bayesian Econometrics are available here.

The lecture slides Gary will be using are available below:

Topic 1: An Overview of Bayesian Econometrics

Topic 2: Bayesian Inference in the Normal Linear Regression Model

Topic 3: Bayesian Methods for Regression Models with Fat Data

 Topic 4: Bayesian VARs

Topic 5: Bayesian State Space Models

 Topic 6: TVP-VARs and Factor Models

Optional lecture on Sequential Monte Carlo Methods

 

 

Material for Computer Sessions:

 

Computer Tutorial 1

 

Code and Data for Computer Tutorial 1

 

Computer Tutorial 2

 

Code and Data for Computer Tutorial 2

 

Computer Tutorial 3

 

Code and Data for Computer Tutorial 3

 

Computer Tutorial 4

 

Code and Data for Computer Tutorial 4

 

 

Theoretical Problem Sets with Proofs and Derivations

(answers included)

 

Problem Set 1: Bayesian Theory

 

Problem_Set_2: Bayesian Theory of the Normal Linear Regression Model

 

 

 

Instructions for the Empirical Project

 

 

Handout Describing the Format of the Exam